This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place.
Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution.
Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
December 31
$159 Volume
10%
Resolved 1
June 30
$767.2K Volume
No
Analysis & News
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Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Iran hold a presidential election by?
Yes is priced at 7% and No at 94%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Will Iran hold a presidential election by?
Traders currently imply a 7% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Will Iran hold a presidential election by market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2027 (129 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Will Iran hold a presidential election by?
Total traded volume on this market is $767.4K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Will Iran hold a presidential election by on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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