The airlines British Airways and Norwegian agreed to a bet on Instagram which stipulates that the airline representing the losing country in the Norway vs. England 2026 FIFA World Cup match, currently scheduled for July 11, 2026, will change its Instagram profile picture to the logo of the corresponding airline (https://www.instagram.com/p/Daho9bQMeah/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if either @british_airways or @flynorwegian changes its Instagram profile picture to the logo of the corresponding airline by July 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A modified, blended, filtered, or otherwise stylized version of the corresponding airline's logo will qualify so long as the new profile picture contains a clear representation of the logo.
Any officially used symbol of the corresponding airline will qualify as the relevant logo. This includes the airline's name in text and any officially used logos from any point in the company's history.
Non-qualifying profile pictures include logos of third airlines, blank profile pictures, or references to the winning country (e.g. the flag of Norway) without the logo of the corresponding airline.
This market will resolve solely based on the change in each airline's profile picture. The outcome of the referenced 2026 FIFA World Cup game will have no bearing on resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the official Instagram accounts of British Airways (@british_airways) and Norwegian (@flynorwegian).
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will British or Norwegian Airways swap logos on Instagram?
Yes is trading at 97%, leaving No at just 3% - traders treat this one as close to settled, though prices keep updating until resolution.
What do traders predict for Will British or Norwegian Airways swap logos on Instagram?
Traders price Yes at a 97% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Will British or Norwegian Airways swap logos on Instagram market resolve?
The market runs until 15 Jul 2026 (5 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Will British or Norwegian Airways swap logos on Instagram?
$1.3K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Will British or Norwegian Airways swap logos on Instagram on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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