This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mitchell Berman
$5K Volume
88%
Lorenzo Santos
$139 Volume
6%
Peter Burgelis
$93 Volume
5%
Miguel Aranda
$76 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for WI-01 Democratic Primary Winner?
Mitchell Berman dominates the field at 88%; the nearest challenger, Candidate A, trades at just 50%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for WI-01 Democratic Primary Winner?
Traders price Mitchell Berman at a 88% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the WI-01 Democratic Primary Winner market resolve?
Mark 11 Aug 2026 (20 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on WI-01 Democratic Primary Winner?
$5.3K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade WI-01 Democratic Primary Winner on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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