This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Past
↑ $6,000
$640.2K Volume
13%
↑ $7,000
$92.4K Volume
6%
↑ $8,000
$44.7K Volume
4%
↑ $10,000
$63.7K Volume
3%
↑ $12,000
$58.8K Volume
3%
↑ $15,000
$69.4K Volume
3%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
The field is wide open: ↑ $6,000 tops it at just 13%, with ↑ $7,000 close behind at 6%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
No strong consensus yet: ↑ $6,000 tops the implied probabilities at just 13%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (162 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
$95.1K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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