The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Michael Baumgartner
$144 Volume
99%
Carmela Conroy
90%
Nate Powell
$12 Volume
9%
Kyle Ursey
$27 Volume
7%
Matthew Hayes
$313 Volume
5%
Ann Marie Danimus
$64 Volume
9%
Kevin Fagan
$171 Volume
7%
Bajun Mavalwalla
$114 Volume
9%
David Womack
$104 Volume
10%
Andrew Bartleson
$94 Volume
5%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for WA-05 Primary Winners?
Michael Baumgartner dominates the field at 97%; the nearest challenger, Carmela Conroy, trades at just 89%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for WA-05 Primary Winners?
With 97% implied for Michael Baumgartner, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the WA-05 Primary Winners market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 4 Aug 2026 (13 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on WA-05 Primary Winners?
$1K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade WA-05 Primary Winners on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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