This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Past
December 31
$23.7K Volume
4%
Resolved 1
June 30
$94.1K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by?
The market prices Yes at only 4%, with No at 96%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 4% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by?
Total turnover stands at $117.8K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
Similar Markets
August 2299%YesNoAugust 2599%YesNo
December 3173%YesNo
October 3152%YesNo
August 311%
August 151%
March 31, 202765%YesNo
December 31, 202652%YesNo
December 3111%YesNo
November 307%YesNo
