Geopolitics · Lebanon

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

View on Polymarket

$117.8K Volume

01/01/2027 04:59

market.mkt_cta_label

View on Official Site Trade with real money on Polymarket →

Past

Apr 30 Mar 31

Jan 1, 2027

December 31

$23.7K Volume

Resolved 1

June 30

$94.1K Volume

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.

Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.

The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by?

Yes is priced at 4% and No at 96%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.

What do traders predict for U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by?

Traders currently imply a 4% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by?

Total traded volume on this market is $117.8K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.