This market will resolve to "Kai Kamaka III" if Kai Kamaka III is officially declared the winner of the fight against Luke Riley at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026.
It will resolve to "Luke Riley" if Luke Riley is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
UFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims)
UFC

Luke Riley
13-0-0
–
vs
11/07 21:00
–

Kai Kamaka III
18-7-1
Game context
Luke Riley enters UFC 329 as the clear favorite in this featherweight prelim matchup, riding a perfect 13-0 record that includes nine knockouts and recent stoppage power against Bogdan Grad. The 27-year-old English prospect followed that performance with a unanimous decision over Michael Aswell Jr. in March 2026. Kai Kamaka III, a 33-year-old Hawaiian veteran at 18-7-1, returns to the Octagon after a split-decision win over Dakota Hope in April but carries a history of decision losses to established competition. Both fighters are healthy with no reported injuries or late changes ahead of the July 11 bout at T-Mobile Arena, where Riley’s finishing rate and momentum shape the current trader consensus.
Moneyline
$38.1K Vol.Total (O/U)
$97 Vol.More Bets
$694 Vol.Goes the Distance
Method of Victory
Method of Victory
Method of Victory
Method of Victory
Resolution Source: www.ufc.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for UFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims)?
O/U 0.5 Rounds leads the field at 72%, with O/U 1.5 Rounds next at 65%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for UFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims)?
The market makes O/U 0.5 Rounds the favorite at 72%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the UFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims) market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 12 Jul 2026 (2 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on UFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims)?
Total turnover stands at $1.8M. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade UFC 329: Kai Kamaka III vs. Luke Riley (Featherweight, Prelims) on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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