SPX · Up or Down

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13?

$148.5K Volume
13/07/2026 20:00
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, July 13, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, July 13, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.

If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices".

US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks
EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea
ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Resolution Source: www.wsj.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13?
No runaway leader here - Up at 59% versus Down at 41%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13?
Traders give Up a 59% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13 market resolve?
Mark 13 Jul 2026 (3 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13?
Traders have put $148.5K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.

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