SPX · Up or Down

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 24?

$103.5K Volume
24/07/2026 20:00
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on July 24 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on July 24 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.

E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.

If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices".

US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks
EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea
ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Resolution Source: www.wsj.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 24?
It's a genuine race: Up edges the field at 57%, barely ahead of Down at 43%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 24?
At 57% implied for Up, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 24 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 24 Jul 2026 (2 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 24?
$103.5K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 24 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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