This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Florida, and Maine (including the special election in Florida) that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Dems TX & ME, Reps FL
93%
Reps TX & ME, Dems FL
93%
Dems TX & FL, Reps ME
93%
Dems sweep
84%
Reps sweep
99%
Reps TX & FL, Dems ME
99%
Reps TX, Dems FL & ME
98%
Dems TX, Reps FL & ME
98%
Other
50%
Relevant Guides
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Senate Combo: Texas, Florida, Maine?
The current front-runner is Dems TX & ME, Reps FL at 55%, ahead of Reps sweep at 50%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Senate Combo: Texas, Florida, Maine?
Traders currently imply a 55% chance for Dems TX & ME, Reps FL. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Senate Combo: Texas, Florida, Maine market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 3 Nov 2026 (1 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How can I trade Senate Combo: Texas, Florida, Maine on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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