This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?
Yes is trading at 99% and No at 1%, based on live order-book prices on Polymarket. The numbers move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?
The market gives Yes a 99% implied chance. These probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as news breaks, not guarantees.
When does the SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (183 days left), settling under Polymarket's published rules once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?
Total traded volume on this market is $36.6K - a gauge of how much real money traders have put behind the outcome.
How can I trade SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter on Polymarket?
Follow the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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