RUT · Up or Down

Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on July 10?

$14.8K Volume
10/07/2026 20:00
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for Russell 2000 (RUT) on Friday, July 10, 2026 is higher than the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for RUT on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for Russell 2000 (RUT) on Friday, July 10, 2026 is lower than the official Russell 2000 Index closing price for RUT on the most recent prior trading day.

E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.

If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If RUT does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.

If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by Russell 2000 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices".

US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks
EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea
ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Resolution Source: www.wsj.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on July 10?
At 98%, Down has pulled far clear of Up (2%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on July 10?
Traders price Down at a 98% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on July 10 market resolve?
Mark 10 Jul 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on July 10?
$14.8K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on July 10 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

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