This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on July 10, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
$195
$939 Volume
99%
$200
$91 Volume
99%
$205
$402 Volume
77%
$210
13%
$215
3%
Resolution Source: pythdata.app
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on July 10?
$195 dominates the field at 98%; the nearest challenger, $200, trades at just 97%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on July 10?
Traders price $195 at a 98% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on July 10 market resolve?
Mark 10 Jul 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on July 10?
Traders have put $2.2K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on July 10 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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