AI · Tech

Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released on...?

$1.6K Volume
01/12/2026 04:59
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November 3
$334 Volume
5%
November 4
$204 Volume
4%
November 5
$306 Volume
29%
November 6
$285 Volume
13%
November 7
$864 Volume
14%
November 8
$306 Volume
10%
November 9
$359 Volume
10%
November 10
$235 Volume
7%
November 11
$331 Volume
7%
November 12
$768 Volume
44%
November 13
$250 Volume
4%
November 14
$1.2K Volume
2%
November 15
$348 Volume
9%
November 16
$275 Volume
6%
November 17
$329 Volume
8%
November 18
$324 Volume
5%
November 19
$318 Volume
1%
November 20
$326 Volume
5%
November 21
$373 Volume
4%
November 22
$317 Volume
5%
November 23
$413 Volume
27%
November 24
$332 Volume
9%
November 25
$311 Volume
5%
November 26
$246 Volume
4%
November 27
$756 Volume
10%
November 28
$571 Volume
6%
November 29
$244 Volume
1%
No release by November 30
$4.9K Volume
35%
November 30
$228 Volume
1%
Resolved 3
On or prior to October 31
$354 Volume
No
November 1
$106 Volume
No
November 2
$550 Volume
No

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model (5.6+) is made available to the general public.

A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Opus" and be designated as version 5.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.6 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Opus 5 or Claude Opus 5.5 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Opus 6, while models whose name does not include "Opus" or which retain a version designation below 5.6, such as Claude Opus 5.5, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released on?
The current front-runner is No release by November 30 at 34%, ahead of November 12 at 24%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released on?
Traders currently imply a 34% chance for No release by November 30. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released on market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Dec 2026 (28 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released on?
Total traded volume on this market is $1.6K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released on on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

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