Politics · Global Elections

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

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$3.7K Volume

27/10/2026 00:00

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Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel in 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, following the next election for the Israeli Knesset, a new Knesset election is called prior to any government being formed. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Government formation refers to a political coalition or government being approved by an investiture vote of the Knesset.

An election will be considered called if the Knesset is dissolved, or if a new Knesset election is otherwise officially announced by the Israeli government.

If a government is formed following the election before a new Knesset election is called, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The failure of a government formation attempt will not alone qualify if no new Knesset election has been called.

If neither occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

Yes is priced at 22% and No at 79%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.

What do traders predict for Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

Traders currently imply a 22% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Israeli election results in a hung parliament market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 27 Oct 2026 (64 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

Total traded volume on this market is $3.7K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Israeli election results in a hung parliament on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.