This market will resolve according to how much "Moana" (2026) Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 10 - July 12) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by July 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
29-34m
$5.6K Volume
1%
34-39m
$12.4K Volume
7%
39-44m
$9.8K Volume
80%
<29m
$4.8K Volume
1%
>44m
$31.5K Volume
16%
Resolution Source: www.the-numbers.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for "Moana (2026)" Opening Weekend Box Office?
The money is on 39-44m at 78%; >44m follows at 15%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.
What do traders predict for "Moana (2026)" Opening Weekend Box Office?
The market makes 39-44m the favorite at 78%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the "Moana (2026)" Opening Weekend Box Office market resolve?
Mark 13 Jul 2026 (3 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on "Moana (2026)" Opening Weekend Box Office?
$103.6K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade "Moana (2026)" Opening Weekend Box Office on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
Similar Markets
<20m99%YesNo
20-25m1%YesNo
Spider-Man: Brand New Day74%YesNo
Avengers: Doomsday16%YesNo
>115m31%YesNo
85-95m23%YesNo
240-260m26%YesNo
260-280m22%YesNo
<19m90%YesNo
19-21m4%YesNo
<16m82%YesNo
16-17m13%YesNo
Simu Liu as Shang-Chi97%YesNo
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange87%YesNo
18-20m43%YesNo
16-18m25%YesNo
