This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Hartzell Gray
$600 Volume
47%
Jeanette Cass
$100 Volume
18%
Jordan Herrera
$84 Volume
23%
Ashleigh Rogers
$91 Volume
5%
G Rick
$60 Volume
7%
Randy Miller
$280 Volume
11%
Wayne Russell
$40 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for MO-04 Democratic Primary Winner?
It's a genuine race: Candidate A edges the field at 50%, barely ahead of Candidate B at 50%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for MO-04 Democratic Primary Winner?
At 50% implied for Candidate A, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the MO-04 Democratic Primary Winner market resolve?
The market runs until 4 Aug 2026 (24 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on MO-04 Democratic Primary Winner?
Traders have put $1.3K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade MO-04 Democratic Primary Winner on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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