This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Democratic Party
$11.1K Volume
97%
Republican Party
$8.4K Volume
3%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for MD-08 House Election Winner?
At 96%, Democratic Party has pulled far clear of Republican Party (3%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for MD-08 House Election Winner?
Traders price Democratic Party at a 96% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the MD-08 House Election Winner market resolve?
The market runs until 3 Nov 2026 (115 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on MD-08 House Election Winner?
Total turnover stands at $19.5K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade MD-08 House Election Winner on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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