This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Past
9°C or below
$62 Volume
71%
10°C
$55 Volume
6%
11°C
18%
12°C
25%
13°C
37%
14°C
36%
15°C
37%
16°C
21%
17°C
$70 Volume
1%
18°C
$135 Volume
5%
19°C or higher
$135 Volume
2%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 24?
The field is wide open: 9°C or below tops it at just 36%, with 14°C close behind at 28%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 24?
No strong consensus yet: 9°C or below tops the implied probabilities at just 36%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 24 market resolve?
Mark 24 Aug 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 24?
Traders have put $3.5K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 24 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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