This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
24°C or below
$4.6K Volume
1%
25°C
$4.5K Volume
1%
26°C
$5.7K Volume
1%
27°C
$5.6K Volume
2%
28°C
$6.8K Volume
2%
29°C
$16.7K Volume
99%
30°C
$18K Volume
1%
31°C
$7.4K Volume
1%
32°C
$3.7K Volume
1%
33°C
$2.1K Volume
1%
34°C or higher
$3.9K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
At 98%, 29°C has pulled far clear of 27°C (1%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
With 98% implied for 29°C, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9 market resolve?
Mark 9 Aug 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
$102.2K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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