This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
9°C or below
$343 Volume
1%
10°C
$988 Volume
1%
11°C
$4.1K Volume
1%
12°C
$52.1K Volume
1%
13°C
$34K Volume
1%
14°C
$17.5K Volume
99%
15°C
$16.9K Volume
1%
16°C
$9.3K Volume
1%
17°C
$6.3K Volume
1%
18°C
$205 Volume
1%
19°C or higher
$361 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Wellington on August 9?
14°C dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, 9°C or below, trades at just 1%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Wellington on August 9?
With 99% implied for 14°C, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Highest temperature in Wellington on August 9 market resolve?
The market runs until 9 Aug 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Wellington on August 9?
$137.2K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Wellington on August 9 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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