This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
31°C or below
$1.8K Volume
1%
32°C
$7.8K Volume
1%
33°C
$12.9K Volume
1%
34°C
$13.5K Volume
1%
35°C
$29.1K Volume
1%
36°C
$50.4K Volume
91%
37°C
$45.1K Volume
11%
38°C
$34K Volume
1%
39°C
$17.8K Volume
1%
40°C
$2.4K Volume
1%
41°C or higher
$1.2K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
At 91%, 36°C has pulled far clear of 37°C (9%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
With 91% implied for 36°C, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9 market resolve?
The market runs until 9 Aug 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
Traders have put $293.8K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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