This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
7°C or below
$45 Volume
60%
8°C
$49 Volume
17%
9°C
37%
10°C
37%
11°C
$5 Volume
49%
12°C
37%
13°C
37%
14°C
$5 Volume
10%
15°C
$145 Volume
7%
16°C
$35 Volume
4%
17°C or higher
$147 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 24?
Even the leader is cheap - 7°C or below trades at 31%, 11°C at 28%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 24?
No strong consensus yet: 7°C or below tops the implied probabilities at just 31%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 24 market resolve?
Mark 24 Aug 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 24?
$7.3K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 24 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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