This market will resolve to “Yes” if at least 177 gold medals have been officially awarded at the 2028 Los Angeles Olympic Games (LA28) by July 25, 2028, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “officially awarded” is defined as the gold-deciding final for the relevant event concluding and the gold medalist(s) being determined under official results. A qualifying awarding will still count towards the total regardless of whether the results are later reviewed or modified.
Medal ceremonies aren’t required for an awarding to qualify. Each event will count once towards the total; a team gold or a shared gold will still count as one event.
Both the specified threshold and deadline will remain fixed regardless of whether events are added to or cut from the program, or if LA28 is postponed, suspended, shortened, relocated, or rescheduled in any way.
Heats, prelims, semifinals, and any phase that doesn’t decide gold will not count. Events postponed past the deadline or cancelled without deciding a gold medalist will not count.
If LA28 officially awards at least one gold medal but is cancelled or curtailed, this market will resolve on the number of officially awarded gold medals up until that point.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there exists any ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the organizers of LA28, including the Los Angeles Organizing Committee (https://la28.org/) and the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/).
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?
Yes is trading at 91%, leaving No at just 9% - traders treat this one as close to settled, though prices keep updating until resolution.
What do traders predict for LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?
With 91% implied for Yes, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the LA28 Olympics run as scheduled market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 25 Jul 2028 (734 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?
Traders have put $40.6K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade LA28 Olympics run as scheduled on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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