This market refers to the tennis match between Axel Nefve and Matthew Thomson in the ITF Men Rochester, originally scheduled for July 14, 2026 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Axel Nefve' if Axel Nefve advances against Matthew Thomson.
This market will resolve to 'Matthew Thomson' if Matthew Thomson advances against Axel Nefve.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ITF Rochester: Axel Nefve vs Matthew Thomson
ITF
Matthew Thomson
0-0
–
vs
14/07 21:00
–
Axel Nefve
0-0
Game context
Axel Nefve and Matthew Thomson, both American players competing in the ITF M15 Rochester on hard courts, meet in what appears to be their first encounter. Nefve holds a higher ranking near 945-1005 after reaching a career peak of 731, with recent results including a June win over Matthew Michibata but a loss to Jeff Wolf in an M25 event. Thomson, ranked around 1230 with a career-high doubles mark of 872, enters on the back of a three-set victory over Benjamin Thomas George in M25 Laval. The matchup features two lower-ranked pros at this level, where recent form, surface familiarity, and limited prior ITF experience shape the closely contested trader consensus around even implied probabilities. Schedule and draw position add context for any potential fatigue factors.
Moneyline
$54.1K Vol.Match Completed
$15 Vol.1st Set Winner
$31 Vol.Set Winner
$300 Vol.Set Total
$20 Vol.ITF Rochester: Axel Nefve vs Matthew Thomson Total Sets: O/U 2.5
ITF Rochester: Axel Nefve vs Matthew Thomson Set 2 O/U 8.5
ITF Rochester: Axel Nefve vs Matthew Thomson Set 2 O/U 9.5
ITF Rochester: Axel Nefve vs Matthew Thomson Set 2 O/U 10.5
1st Set Total
ITF Rochester: Axel Nefve vs Matthew Thomson Set 1 O/U 8.5
ITF Rochester: Axel Nefve vs Matthew Thomson Set 1 O/U 9.5
ITF Rochester: Axel Nefve vs Matthew Thomson Set 1 O/U 10.5
Total Games
ITF Rochester: Axel Nefve vs Matthew Thomson Match O/U 21.5
ITF Rochester: Axel Nefve vs Matthew Thomson Match O/U 22.5
ITF Rochester: Axel Nefve vs Matthew Thomson Match O/U 23.5
Set Handicap
$20 Vol. Resolution Source: www.itftennis.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for ITF Rochester: Axel Nefve vs Matthew Thomson?
At 99%, Completed Match has pulled far clear of ITF Rochester: Axel Nefve vs Matthew Thomson Set 1 Winner (99%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for ITF Rochester: Axel Nefve vs Matthew Thomson?
Traders price Completed Match at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the ITF Rochester: Axel Nefve vs Matthew Thomson market resolve?
The market runs until 21 Jul 2026 (7 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on ITF Rochester: Axel Nefve vs Matthew Thomson?
$2M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade ITF Rochester: Axel Nefve vs Matthew Thomson on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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