This market refers to the tennis match between Madelief Hageman and Lian Tran in the ITF Women Horb, originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Madelief Hageman' if Madelief Hageman advances against Lian Tran.
This market will resolve to 'Lian Tran' if Lian Tran advances against Madelief Hageman.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ITF Horb: Madelief Hageman vs Lian Tran
ITF
Lian Tran
0-0
–
vs
22/07 12:00
–
Madelief Hageman
0-0
Game context
Lian Tran enters the W50 Horb clay-court encounter as the clear favorite due to her superior career-high singles ranking of 329 and greater ITF experience compared with Madelief Hageman’s current position near 800. Both Dutch players are similar in age, but Tran’s deeper run history and prior success on the surface give her a stylistic edge in extended rallies typical of clay. Recent tournament scheduling on outdoor clay favors consistent baseline play, where Tran’s proven adaptability has historically translated into stronger results. Any late withdrawal or fatigue from the short turnaround between events could narrow the gap, though current trader consensus reflects the ranking disparity as the dominant factor.
Moneyline
$15.9K Vol.Match Completed
1st Set Winner
$5 Vol.Set Total
$4 Vol.ITF Horb: Madelief Hageman vs Lian Tran Total Sets: O/U 2.5
ITF Horb: Madelief Hageman vs Lian Tran Set 2 O/U 8.5
ITF Horb: Madelief Hageman vs Lian Tran Set 2 O/U 9.5
ITF Horb: Madelief Hageman vs Lian Tran Set 2 O/U 10.5
Set Winner
1st Set Total
ITF Horb: Madelief Hageman vs Lian Tran Set 1 O/U 8.5
ITF Horb: Madelief Hageman vs Lian Tran Set 1 O/U 9.5
ITF Horb: Madelief Hageman vs Lian Tran Set 1 O/U 10.5
Set Handicap
$9 Vol.Total Games
ITF Horb: Madelief Hageman vs Lian Tran Match O/U 21.5
ITF Horb: Madelief Hageman vs Lian Tran Match O/U 22.5
ITF Horb: Madelief Hageman vs Lian Tran Match O/U 23.5
Resolution Source: www.itftennis.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for ITF Horb: Madelief Hageman vs Lian Tran?
Completed Match dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, ITF Horb: Madelief Hageman vs Lian Tran Set 1 Winner, trades at just 99%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for ITF Horb: Madelief Hageman vs Lian Tran?
Traders price Completed Match at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the ITF Horb: Madelief Hageman vs Lian Tran market resolve?
The market runs until 29 Jul 2026 (7 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on ITF Horb: Madelief Hageman vs Lian Tran?
Traders have put $2M through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade ITF Horb: Madelief Hageman vs Lian Tran on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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