This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Republican
$13.1K Volume
95%
Democrat
$9.8K Volume
6%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Idaho Senate Election Winner?
Republican dominates the field at 94%; the nearest challenger, Democrat, trades at just 5%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Idaho Senate Election Winner?
Traders price Republican at a 94% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Idaho Senate Election Winner market resolve?
Mark 3 Nov 2026 (97 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Idaho Senate Election Winner?
Traders have put $23K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Idaho Senate Election Winner on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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