This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between October 26, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
If no earthquake data for this market's timeframe has been published on the resolution source by 48 hours after the market's closing time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Weather
· climate
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 26 - November 1? (Resolved)
0
$10.6K Volume
99%
1
$3.5K Volume
3%
2
$1.8K Volume
2%
3
$599 Volume
3%
4
$672 Volume
1%
5
$741 Volume
2%
more than 5
$960 Volume
2%
Resolution Source: earthquake.usgs.gov
Relevant Guides
Odds & FAQ
When does the How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 26 - November 1? (Resolved) market resolve?
This market has already resolved. The final outcome was settled under Polymarket's published resolution criteria.
How much money is trading on How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 26 - November 1? (Resolved)?
Total traded volume on this market is $31.2K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
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