This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
18°C or below
$229 Volume
1%
19°C
$47 Volume
1%
20°C
$374 Volume
1%
21°C
$211 Volume
2%
22°C
$266 Volume
2%
23°C
$355 Volume
7%
24°C
$138 Volume
26%
25°C
$311 Volume
42%
26°C
$88 Volume
20%
27°C
$280 Volume
6%
28°C or higher
$268 Volume
2%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 11?
The field is wide open: 25°C tops it at just 41%, with 24°C close behind at 25%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 11?
No strong consensus yet: 25°C tops the implied probabilities at just 41%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 11 market resolve?
The market runs until 11 Jul 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 11?
Traders have put $31.8K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 11 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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