This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
27°C or below
$5.9K Volume
1%
28°C
$35K Volume
1%
29°C
$76.4K Volume
97%
30°C
$22.5K Volume
5%
31°C
$23.5K Volume
1%
32°C
$31.9K Volume
1%
33°C
$14.6K Volume
1%
34°C
$3.3K Volume
1%
35°C
$1.2K Volume
1%
36°C
$192 Volume
1%
37°C or higher
$135 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 20?
29°C dominates the field at 97%; the nearest challenger, 30°C, trades at just 4%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 20?
Traders price 29°C at a 97% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 20 market resolve?
The market runs until 20 Aug 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 20?
$248.9K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 20 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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