This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
26°C or below
$1.9K Volume
1%
27°C
$981 Volume
1%
28°C
$2.8K Volume
1%
29°C
$14.4K Volume
1%
30°C
$9.4K Volume
10%
31°C
$7K Volume
36%
32°C
$4.6K Volume
50%
33°C
$6.5K Volume
15%
34°C
$1.9K Volume
1%
35°C
$1.7K Volume
1%
36°C or higher
$819 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?
No runaway leader here - 32°C at 48% versus 31°C at 35%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?
At 48% implied for 32°C, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18 market resolve?
Mark 18 Aug 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?
$185.8K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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