This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2025, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2025, scheduled for January 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2024 to the annual level in 2025. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
<0.5%
$153.9K Volume
1%
0.5–1.0%
$412.8K Volume
1%
1.0–1.5%
$134.5K Volume
1%
1.5–2.0%
$64.9K Volume
1%
2.0–2.5%
$83.2K Volume
99%
>2.5%
$131.2K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
When does the GDP growth in 2025 (Resolved) market resolve?
This market is settled. The final outcome was confirmed and paid out under Polymarket's published resolution rules.
How much money is trading on GDP growth in 2025 (Resolved)?
Traders have put $541 through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
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