This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Bale Dalton
$326 Volume
87%
Marialana Kinter
$1.5K Volume
11%
Alan Grayson
$449 Volume
5%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for FL-07 Democratic Primary Winner?
Bale Dalton dominates the field at 87%; the nearest challenger, Candidate A, trades at just 50%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for FL-07 Democratic Primary Winner?
Traders price Bale Dalton at a 87% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the FL-07 Democratic Primary Winner market resolve?
Mark 18 Aug 2026 (22 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on FL-07 Democratic Primary Winner?
Total turnover stands at $2.3K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade FL-07 Democratic Primary Winner on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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