This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
John Rutherford
$1.8K Volume
94%
Mark Kaye
$2K Volume
6%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for FL-05 Republican Primary Winner?
At 93%, John Rutherford has pulled far clear of Candidate A (50%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for FL-05 Republican Primary Winner?
With 93% implied for John Rutherford, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the FL-05 Republican Primary Winner market resolve?
The market runs until 18 Aug 2026 (27 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on FL-05 Republican Primary Winner?
Traders have put $3.8K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade FL-05 Republican Primary Winner on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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