This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 27 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 28 '26 12:00 ET candle.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 27 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 28 '26 12:00 ET candle.
If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution Source: www.binance.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Ethereum Up or Down on July 28?
Down dominates the field at 92%; the nearest challenger, Up, trades at just 9%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Ethereum Up or Down on July 28?
Traders price Down at a 92% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Ethereum Up or Down on July 28 market resolve?
The market runs until 28 Jul 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Ethereum Up or Down on July 28?
$80.7K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Ethereum Up or Down on July 28 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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