This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 15 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 16 '26 12:00 ET candle.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 15 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 16 '26 12:00 ET candle.
If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution Source: www.binance.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Ethereum Up or Down on July 16?
No runaway leader here - Down at 60% versus Up at 41%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Ethereum Up or Down on July 16?
Traders give Down a 60% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Ethereum Up or Down on July 16 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 16 Jul 2026 (1 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Ethereum Up or Down on July 16?
$147.5K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Ethereum Up or Down on July 16 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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