This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 18 12:00 PM ET to July 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
12
posts so far
· pace 12
<40
$54.2K Volume
79%
40-64
$35.3K Volume
22%
65-89
$35.9K Volume
1%
90-114
$83.2K Volume
1%
115-139
$34.1K Volume
1%
140-164
$8.4K Volume
1%
165-189
$10.6K Volume
1%
190-214
$4.9K Volume
1%
215-239
$6.3K Volume
1%
240+
$4.3K Volume
1%
Resolution Source: x.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets July 18 - July 20, 2026?
The money is on <40 at 78%; 40-64 follows at 22%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.
What do traders predict for Elon Musk # tweets July 18 - July 20, 2026?
The market makes <40 the favorite at 78%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the Elon Musk # tweets July 18 - July 20, 2026 market resolve?
Mark 20 Jul 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Elon Musk # tweets July 18 - July 20, 2026?
Total turnover stands at $238.3K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Elon Musk # tweets July 18 - July 20, 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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