This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between Fortress and STATE in the Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group A, initially scheduled for July 29 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Fortress" if Fortress win the match against STATE.
This market will resolve to "STATE" if STATE win the match against Fortress.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Counter-Strike: Fortress vs STATE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group A
CS2COUNTER STRIKEBo3

STATE
0-0
2
Final
0

Fortress
0-0
Game context
STATE holds a clear edge over Fortress in the Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series #2 Group A decider, driven by a substantial ranking gap (STATE near #65-90 HLTV versus Fortress at #218-223) and dominant head-to-head results, including a 2-0 sweep on July 25. STATE enters with stronger recent form and map pool consistency in BO3s, while Fortress has struggled with inconsistent results against mid-tier European sides. Roster stability and individual player impact favor STATE, though Fortress retains realistic upset potential on favorable maps if they exploit any defensive lapses. The GSL group structure places this winner-take-most encounter as a key elimination step for playoff qualification.
Moneyline
$8.7K Vol.Total (O/U)
$69 Vol.Map Winner
$15.6K Vol.Map 1 Winner
Map 2 Winner
Map Handicap
More Bets
$1.2K Vol.Map 2 Rounds Handicap: STATE (-6.5) vs Fortress (+6.5)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: STATE (-6.5) vs Fortress (+6.5)
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: STATE (-6.5) vs Fortress (+6.5)
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: STATE (-9.5) vs Fortress (+9.5)
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: STATE (-3.5) vs Fortress (+3.5)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: STATE (-3.5) vs Fortress (+3.5)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: STATE (-9.5) vs Fortress (+9.5)
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: STATE (-12.5) vs Fortress (+12.5)
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5
Resolution Source: www.twitch.tv
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Counter-Strike: Fortress vs STATE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group A?
Map Handicap: STA (-1.5) vs Fortress (+1.5) dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, Map 2 Rounds Handicap: STATE (-3.5) vs Fortress (+3.5), trades at just 99%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Counter-Strike: Fortress vs STATE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group A?
Traders price Map Handicap: STA (-1.5) vs Fortress (+1.5) at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Counter-Strike: Fortress vs STATE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group A market resolve?
The market runs until 29 Jul 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Counter-Strike: Fortress vs STATE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group A?
$2.8M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Counter-Strike: Fortress vs STATE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group A on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
Group A
All markets→Standings
| played | W-D-L | gd | pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3-0-0 | +6 | 9 |
| 2 | 3 | 1-1-1 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | 1-0-2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | 0-1-2 | -4 | 1 |
Odds
| To win the group | To reach the knockout stage | To win the World Cup | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100% | 100% | – | |
| 0% | 0% | – | |
| 0% | 0% | – | |
| 0% | 0% | – |
Fixtures & Results - Group A





