Crypto · Crypto Prices

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?

View on Polymarket

$175.2K Volume

04/11/2026 17:00

View on Polymarket

View on Official Site Trade with real money on Polymarket →

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Nov 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Nov 4 '26 12:00 ET candle.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Nov 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Nov 4 '26 12:00 ET candle.

If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Resolution Source: www.binance.com

Relevant Guides

Trading Basics

Understanding prices, orders, and trading in prediction markets

Trading Strategies

6 proven strategies for trading on Polymarket

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?

The current front-runner is Down at 51%, ahead of Up at 50%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.

What do traders predict for Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?

Traders currently imply a 51% chance for Down. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4 market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 4 Nov 2026 (2 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4?

Total traded volume on this market is $175.2K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4 on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.