This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 26 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 27 '26 12:00 ET candle.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 26 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 27 '26 12:00 ET candle.
If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution Source: www.binance.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27?
It's a genuine race: Up edges the field at 53%, barely ahead of Down at 48%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27?
At 53% implied for Up, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27 market resolve?
The market runs until 27 Jul 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27?
$145.9K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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