This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 23 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 24 '26 12:00 ET candle.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 23 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 24 '26 12:00 ET candle.
If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution Source: www.binance.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24?
It's a genuine race: Down edges the field at 56%, barely ahead of Up at 45%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24?
Traders give Down a 56% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24 market resolve?
Mark 24 Jul 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24?
Traders have put $268K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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