This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 19 '26 12:00 ET candle.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 18 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 19 '26 12:00 ET candle.
If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution Source: www.binance.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19?
The money is on Up at 79%; Down follows at 22%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.
What do traders predict for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19?
Traders lean toward Up, pricing it at 79%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.
When does the Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19 market resolve?
Mark 19 Jul 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19?
$242.9K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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Up99%
Down1%
