Crypto · Crypto Prices

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18?

View on Polymarket

$692.4K Volume

18/07/2026 16:00

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This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 18 '26 12:00 ET candle.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 17 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 18 '26 12:00 ET candle.

If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Resolution Source: www.binance.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18?

Up dominates the field at 89%; the nearest challenger, Down, trades at just 12%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.

What do traders predict for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18?

Traders price Up at a 89% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18 market resolve?

Resolution is scheduled for 18 Jul 2026 (1 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.

How much money is trading on Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18?

Traders have put $692.4K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

How can I trade Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18 on Polymarket?

Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.