Crypto · Crypto Prices

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17?

View on Polymarket

$225.8K Volume

17/07/2026 16:00

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This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 17 '26 12:00 ET candle.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 17 '26 12:00 ET candle.

If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Resolution Source: www.binance.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17?

At 98%, Down has pulled far clear of Up (2%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.

What do traders predict for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17?

Traders price Down at a 98% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17 market resolve?

The market runs until 17 Jul 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.

How much money is trading on Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17?

Total turnover stands at $225.8K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.

How can I trade Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17 on Polymarket?

Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.