Crypto · Crypto Prices

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16?

View on Polymarket

$239.4K Volume

16/07/2026 16:00

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This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 15 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 16 '26 12:00 ET candle.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 15 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 16 '26 12:00 ET candle.

If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Resolution Source: www.binance.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16?

Down leads the field at 75%, with Up next at 26%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.

What do traders predict for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16?

The market makes Down the favorite at 75%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16 market resolve?

Mark 16 Jul 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16?

Traders have put $239.4K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

How can I trade Bitcoin Up or Down on July 16 on Polymarket?

You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.