Crypto · Crypto Prices

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21?

View on Polymarket

$313.5K Volume

21/08/2026 16:00

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This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 21 '26 12:00 ET candle.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 21 '26 12:00 ET candle.

If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Resolution Source: www.binance.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21?

At 96%, Up has pulled far clear of Down (5%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.

What do traders predict for Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21?

With 96% implied for Up, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21 market resolve?

Resolution is scheduled for 21 Aug 2026 (1 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.

How much money is trading on Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21?

$313.5K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.

How can I trade Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21 on Polymarket?

You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.