This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Amish Shah
$670 Volume
70%
Jonathan Treble
$533 Volume
26%
Marlene Galán-Woods
$1.1K Volume
19%
Rick McCartney
$403 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner?
No runaway leader here - Amish Shah at 64% versus Candidate A at 50%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner?
At 64% implied for Amish Shah, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner market resolve?
The market runs until 21 Jul 2026 (6 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner?
$2.7K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade AZ-01 Democratic Primary Winner on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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