This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer in the Canadian Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 12:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Sho Shimabukuro' if Sho Shimabukuro advances against Nicolai Budkov Kjaer.
This market will resolve to 'Nicolai Budkov Kjaer' if Nicolai Budkov Kjaer advances against Sho Shimabukuro.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Canadian Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer34
Sho Shimabukuro66Final
Game context
Sho Shimabukuro holds the ranking edge at No. 94 with a career-high of 89 reached in June 2026, bringing greater hard-court experience and ATP-level seasoning compared to 19-year-old Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, who sits at No. 144 after peaking at 118 in July. Both players enter with uneven 2026 form—Shimabukuro at 4-7 and Kjaer at 2-6—yet the Norwegian prospect’s recent Challenger results and physical tools could narrow the gap in this best-of-three qualifier on outdoor hard courts. No confirmed injuries or withdrawals affect either side, though the match winner advances directly into the Toronto main draw amid a compressed summer schedule. Trader pricing reflects Shimabukuro’s modest edge in consistency against a high-upside underdog still adapting to senior-level demands.
Moneyline
$76.4K Vol.Match Completed
Total Games
$102 Vol.Canadian Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Match O/U 21.5
Canadian Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Match O/U 22.5
Canadian Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Match O/U 23.5
Set Total
Canadian Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Set 2 O/U 8.5
Canadian Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Canadian Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Set 2 O/U 9.5
Canadian Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Set 2 O/U 10.5
1st Set Total
$20 Vol.Canadian Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Set 1 O/U 8.5
Canadian Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Set 1 O/U 9.5
Canadian Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Set 1 O/U 10.5
Set Handicap
$464 Vol.Canadian Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Set Handicap +/-1.5
Canadian Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Set Handicap +/-1.5
1st Set Winner
$903 Vol.Set Winner
Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Canadian Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Completed Match dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, Canadian Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Set 2 O/U 8.5, trades at just 99%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Canadian Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Traders price Completed Match at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Canadian Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer market resolve?
The market runs until 8 Aug 2026 (7 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Canadian Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
$11.8M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Canadian Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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