This market refers to the tennis match between Andrey Rublev and Sebastian Baez in the Swedish Open, originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Sebastian Baez.
This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Andrey Rublev.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Baez
ATP
Sebastian Baez11
Andrey Rublev60LIVE · S2
Game context
Andrey Rublev faces Sebastian Baez in the Nordea Open quarterfinal on outdoor clay in Bastad, where both players advanced comfortably in the round of 16. Rublev, the top seed and former champion at the event, defeated Andrea Pellegrino without conceding a break point and holds a 21-13 record in 2026 with an 11-5 mark on clay. Baez, the eighth seed and a clay-court specialist, beat Jesper de Jong in straight sets while protecting his serve. Baez leads the head-to-head 1-0 from their 2022 semifinal meeting at this tournament. Rublev’s higher ranking and recent straight-sets win contrast with Baez’s proven success on the surface and at the venue, shaping trader views on the clay-court matchup.
Moneyline
$386.2K Vol.Match Completed
1st Set Winner
$1.4K Vol.Set Winner
$2.1K Vol.Set Total
$8 Vol.Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Baez Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 O/U 8.5
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 O/U 9.5
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 O/U 10.5
1st Set Total
$36 Vol.Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 8.5
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 9.5
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 10.5
Total Games
$667 Vol.Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Baez Match O/U 21.5
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Baez Match O/U 22.5
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Baez Match O/U 23.5
Set Handicap
$4.5K Vol. Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Baez?
At 99%, Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 Winner has pulled far clear of Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Baez Set Handicap +/-1.5 (64%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Baez?
With 99% implied for Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 Winner, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Baez market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 24 Jul 2026 (7 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Baez?
$13.9M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Baez on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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