This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Draxl and Arthur Gea in the Granby, originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 1:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against Arthur Gea.
This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Liam Draxl.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea
ATP
Arthur Gea726
Liam Draxl6⁵60Final
Game context
Arthur Gea enters the Granby Challenger quarterfinal as the slight favorite on hard courts, backed by a higher ATP ranking near 137 and a prior straight-sets win over Draxl in January. The Frenchman’s recent grass-court run to the Newport quarterfinals and consistent ATP-level exposure contrast with Draxl’s Canadian ranking around 158-223 and mixed recent ITF/Challenger results. Local support and familiarity with Granby conditions could boost the Canadian’s return game and serve percentage, though Gea’s head-to-head edge and experience in deciding sets remain key differentiators. Any late fatigue from travel or surface adaptation could shift implied probabilities in this closely contested matchup.
Moneyline
$122.6K Vol.Match Completed
1st Set Winner
$811 Vol.1st Set Total
$45 Vol.Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea Set 1 O/U 8.5
Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea Set 1 O/U 9.5
Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea Set 1 O/U 10.5
Set Total
$13 Vol.Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea Set 2 O/U 8.5
Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea Set 2 O/U 9.5
Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea Set 2 O/U 10.5
Total Games
$28 Vol.Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea Match O/U 21.5
Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea Match O/U 22.5
Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea Match O/U 23.5
Set Winner
Set Handicap
$87 Vol.Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea Set Handicap +/-1.5
Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea Set Handicap +/-1.5
Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea?
Completed Match dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea Set 1 O/U 8.5, trades at just 99%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea?
With 99% implied for Completed Match, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 24 Jul 2026 (7 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea?
$9.9M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Granby: Liam Draxl vs Arthur Gea on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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